In probability theory, a martingale is a model of a fair game where knowledge of past events never helps predict the mean of the future winnings. In probability theory, a martingale is a model of a fair game where knowledge of past events never helps predict the mean of the future winnings. Un processus stochastique est une martingale par rapport à un ensemble d'information si son espérance en date t conditionnelle à l'information disponible en date. Martingale can refer to: Martingale (probability theory), a stochastic process in which the conditional expectation of the next value, given the current and preceding. Martingales, the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and Spurious Stylized Facts Joseph L. McCauley, Kevin E. Bassler+, and Gemunu H. Gunaratne++ Physics Department Model Choice & Checking † Conflrmatory Goals. † General Empirical Model Development. † Residuals. Martingale residuals. – Formal hypothesis testing In particular, a martingale is a sequence of random variables for which, at a particular time in the realized sequence. Martingale (probability theory) EN. A Martingale Framework for Concept Change Detection in Time-Varying Data Streams When a concept change occurs, the p-values out-put from the randomized p-value. ). martingale, rather than a random. “Efficient Markets Hypothesis: what are we talking What is the martingale hypothesis? Follow. Report. Source(s): _. Edward G · 8 years ago. 0. Thumbs up. 0.